Development of climate change scenarios for small areas in Vietnam by using the MAGICC/SCENGEN software in combination with statistic correction
Main Article Content
Abstract
Abstract. Climate change has beea happening in scales of the global, regional as well as Ù 1
Vietnam because o f human activities which impulse greenhouse gas increasing in the
atmosphere. To cope eíĩectively with climate change, the understanding o f future climate based on
climate change scenarios, particularly scenarios for small areas, is essential. This paper concerns
on ứie application o f M AGICC/SCENGEN 5.3 software in combination with statistic correction to
develop climate change scenarios for small areas in Vietnam. Results showed that the temperature
is increased, while rainfall is changed heterogeneity and seasonally in the regions in Vietnam.
Keywords: climate change scenario, MAGICC/SCENGEN.
Vietnam because o f human activities which impulse greenhouse gas increasing in the
atmosphere. To cope eíĩectively with climate change, the understanding o f future climate based on
climate change scenarios, particularly scenarios for small areas, is essential. This paper concerns
on ứie application o f M AGICC/SCENGEN 5.3 software in combination with statistic correction to
develop climate change scenarios for small areas in Vietnam. Results showed that the temperature
is increased, while rainfall is changed heterogeneity and seasonally in the regions in Vietnam.
Keywords: climate change scenario, MAGICC/SCENGEN.
References
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[2] M. Hulme, T. Jiang, T. M. L. Wiglcy. SCENGEN:
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[5] Tran Viet Lien, Hoang Due Cuong, Truong Anh [7]
Son, Tran Trung Thanh, Developing climate
change scenarios o f 21 century for regions of
Vietnam, Scientific and Technical HydroMeteoroiogical Journal, No 5419, 2006.
Ministry o f Natural Rcsourccs and Environment,
Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Scenarios for
Vietnam, Hanoi, 2009.
Tran Thuc, Nguyen Van Thang, Hoang Due
Cuong. Developing climate change scenarios for
Vietnam. Scientific and Technical Hydro-Meteorological Journal, Feb. 2006.
Basis, 2007
[2] M. Hulme, T. Jiang, T. M. L. Wiglcy. SCENGEN:
A Climate Change Scenario Generator, Software
Use manual Version I.o. Climatic Research Unit,
Norwich, 1995
[3] T. M. L. Wigley, Updated version and results
from the simple climate model MAGICC. NCAR.
Boulder, CO. 2000.184 H.D.
[4] T. M. L. Wigley, Input Needs fo r Downscaling o f [6]
Climate Data, California Energy Commission.
2003.
[5] Tran Viet Lien, Hoang Due Cuong, Truong Anh [7]
Son, Tran Trung Thanh, Developing climate
change scenarios o f 21 century for regions of
Vietnam, Scientific and Technical HydroMeteoroiogical Journal, No 5419, 2006.
Ministry o f Natural Rcsourccs and Environment,
Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Scenarios for
Vietnam, Hanoi, 2009.
Tran Thuc, Nguyen Van Thang, Hoang Due
Cuong. Developing climate change scenarios for
Vietnam. Scientific and Technical Hydro-Meteorological Journal, Feb. 2006.