Nguyen Ngoc Thanh, Dang Ngo Bao Toan, Pham Xuan Canh

Main Article Content

Abstract

Son La is a mountainous province in the Northwest of Vietnam with many ethnic
groups, and has an area of 14,125 km², accounting for 4.27% of the total area of Vietnam. The forest
land accounts for 73% of the total natural area of the province with 357,000 ha of forest. Among this
having 4 areas of special use and the natural reserve forest. Every year, hundreds of forest fires cause
huge natural, economic and ecological damages to the province. Due to the climate change, forest fires
tend to increase in recent years. In order to prevent the fires, warning maps of the forest fire risk are
needed. The research has analyzed mechanism and causes of the forest fires, and built a forest firerelated database with multi-layers of natural, social and economic information, in these, some layers
were extracted from the Landsat 7 images. The expert method was applied for assessement and Saaty's
Hierarchical Analysis (AHP) methods were applied to determine the weight for separated parameters
related to forest fires. The research applied the MCA method to build a multi-indicator function with 9
parameters for establishing the forest fire risk map at the scale of 1:100,000 for provincial levels. In
verifying the results by regression correlation analysis, the R2 value reached 0.71.These maps have
been used for the purpose of forest fire prevention planning for Son La province.
Keywords


Forest fire, multi-criteries, AHP, the fire triangle, planing


References


[1] FAO. Fire Management – Global Assessment 2006. A Thematic Study Prepared in the Framework of the Global Forest Resources Assessment 14 2005. FAO, Rome. Retrieved on December 4, 2009 from http://www. fao.org/docrep/009/ a0969e/a0969e00.h tm, 2007.
[2] Andre, J.C.S. and Viegas D.X., "A strategy to Model the Average Fireline Movement of a Light to Medium Intensity Surface Forest Fire", Proc. 2nd Int. Conf. Forest fire research, Coimbra, Nov. 1994.
[3] Beer T.: "The Interaction of Wind and Fire, Boundary-Layer Meteorology", Vol. 54, pp. 287-308, 1991.
[4] Patankar S.V.: "Numerical Heat Transfer and Fluid Flow", Hemisphere Publ. Corp., New York, 1980.
[5] Pham Ngoc Hung, "Natural Disasters, Forest Fires and Solutions for Forest Fire Prevention and Fight in Vietnam", Publishing House. Agriculture, Hanoi. 2001.
[6] USDA Forest Service Research. Forest fire risk maps: a GIS open source application – a case study in Norwest of Portugal
[7] Guofan Shao, DAI Limin, HAO Zhanqing, TANG Lei& WANG Hui5 Institute of Applied Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang 110016, China. Mapping forest fire risk zones with spatial data and principal component analysis XU Dong.
[8] http://sotnmt.sonla.gov.vn/NewsDetail.aspx?id=43
[9] Jain, A., S.A. Ravan, R.K. Singh, K.K. Das, and P. S. Roy. Forest fire risk modelling using remote sensing and geographic information systems. Current Science 70:928-933. 1996.
[10] Keane et al. A method for mapping fire hazard and risk across multiple scales and its application in fire management. Mapping fire hazard. May 2008.
[11] Lê Đình Thơm, Cơ sở khoa học hiệu chỉnh cấp dự báo cháy rừng các tỉnh Bắc Trung bộ, Cục kiểm lâm - Bộ nông nghiệp và phát triển nông thôn.
[12] Phung Nam Thang et al. Forest fire forecasting and control system, case study in Ha Noi. Journal of Agriculture and Rural Development, No 285. Rothermel R.C., "A Mathematical Model for Predicting Fire Spread in Wildland. 2016.
[13] Hardwick, P. E., H. Lachowski, J. Forbes, R. J. Olson, K. Roby, and J. Fites. 1998. Fuel loading and risk assessment Lassen National Forest. Pages 328-339 in J. D. Greer, editor. Proceedings of the seventh Forest Service remote sensing applications conference. American Society for Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, Bethesda, Maryland, USA, Nassau Bay, Texas, USA.
[14] Keane, R. E., M. G. Rollins, and Z. Zhu. Using simulated historical time series to prioritize fuel treatments on landscapes across the United States: the LANDFIRE prototype project. Ecological Modelling 204:485-502. 2007.
[15] Mahmud Mastura, Forest Fire Monitoring and Mapping in South East Asia, Department of Geography, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia. National Seminar on LUCC and GOFC (NASA/EOC), Bangi. 1999
[16] Nguyen Cao Tung, Forest Inventory and Planning Institute, Applied research, assay, development of a number of modules for monitoring forest resource development and forest resource management, Hanoi. 2007
[17] N.kuter et all. Forest fire risk mapping by Kernel density estimation. Croat.j.for. Eng.32, 2. Pg 599-610. 2011.
[18] Le Thanh Ha. Spatial Interpolation of Meteorologic Variables in Vietnam using the Kriging Method. Journal of Information Processing Systems Vol.11, No.1. 2015.
[19] Tổng cục kiểm lâm: http://www.kiemlam. org.vn
[20] Saaty, T.L., "An exposition of the AHP in reply to the paper Remarks on the Analytic Hierarchy Process", Management Science, 36(3), 259-268. 32. 1990.

Keywords: Forest fire, multi-criteries, AHP, the fire triangle, planing.

References

[1] FAO. Fire Management – Global Assessment 2006. A Thematic Study Prepared in the Framework of the Global Forest Resources Assessment 14 2005. FAO, Rome. Retrieved on December 4, 2009 from http://www. fao.org/docrep/009/ a0969e/a0969e00.h tm, 2007.
[2] Andre, J.C.S. and Viegas D.X., "A strategy to Model the Average Fireline Movement of a Light to Medium Intensity Surface Forest Fire", Proc. 2nd Int. Conf. Forest fire research, Coimbra, Nov. 1994.
[3] Beer T.: "The Interaction of Wind and Fire, Boundary-Layer Meteorology", Vol. 54, pp. 287-308, 1991.
[4] Patankar S.V.: "Numerical Heat Transfer and Fluid Flow", Hemisphere Publ. Corp., New York, 1980.
[5] Pham Ngoc Hung, "Natural Disasters, Forest Fires and Solutions for Forest Fire Prevention and Fight in Vietnam", Publishing House. Agriculture, Hanoi. 2001.
[6] USDA Forest Service Research. Forest fire risk maps: a GIS open source application – a case study in Norwest of Portugal
[7] Guofan Shao, DAI Limin, HAO Zhanqing, TANG Lei& WANG Hui5 Institute of Applied Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang 110016, China. Mapping forest fire risk zones with spatial data and principal component analysis XU Dong.
[8] http://sotnmt.sonla.gov.vn/NewsDetail.aspx?id=43
[9] Jain, A., S.A. Ravan, R.K. Singh, K.K. Das, and P. S. Roy. Forest fire risk modelling using remote sensing and geographic information systems. Current Science 70:928-933. 1996.
[10] Keane et al. A method for mapping fire hazard and risk across multiple scales and its application in fire management. Mapping fire hazard. May 2008.
[11] Lê Đình Thơm, Cơ sở khoa học hiệu chỉnh cấp dự báo cháy rừng các tỉnh Bắc Trung bộ, Cục kiểm lâm - Bộ nông nghiệp và phát triển nông thôn.
[12] Phung Nam Thang et al. Forest fire forecasting and control system, case study in Ha Noi. Journal of Agriculture and Rural Development, No 285. Rothermel R.C., "A Mathematical Model for Predicting Fire Spread in Wildland. 2016.
[13] Hardwick, P. E., H. Lachowski, J. Forbes, R. J. Olson, K. Roby, and J. Fites. 1998. Fuel loading and risk assessment Lassen National Forest. Pages 328-339 in J. D. Greer, editor. Proceedings of the seventh Forest Service remote sensing applications conference. American Society for Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, Bethesda, Maryland, USA, Nassau Bay, Texas, USA.
[14] Keane, R. E., M. G. Rollins, and Z. Zhu. Using simulated historical time series to prioritize fuel treatments on landscapes across the United States: the LANDFIRE prototype project. Ecological Modelling 204:485-502. 2007.
[15] Mahmud Mastura, Forest Fire Monitoring and Mapping in South East Asia, Department of Geography, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia. National Seminar on LUCC and GOFC (NASA/EOC), Bangi. 1999
[16] Nguyen Cao Tung, Forest Inventory and Planning Institute, Applied research, assay, development of a number of modules for monitoring forest resource development and forest resource management, Hanoi. 2007
[17] N.kuter et all. Forest fire risk mapping by Kernel density estimation. Croat.j.for. Eng.32, 2. Pg 599-610. 2011.
[18] Le Thanh Ha. Spatial Interpolation of Meteorologic Variables in Vietnam using the Kriging Method. Journal of Information Processing Systems Vol.11, No.1. 2015.
[19] Tổng cục kiểm lâm: http://www.kiemlam. org.vn
[20] Saaty, T.L., "An exposition of the AHP in reply to the paper Remarks on the Analytic Hierarchy Process", Management Science, 36(3), 259-268. 32. 1990.