Assessing the Vulnerability of the Agricultural Sector in Nghe An Province Due to the Impact of Climate Change Taking into Account the Weight of Indicators
Main Article Content
Abstract
Assessing the level of socio-economic vulnerability focuses on the degree of different impacts due to the threats of climate change.The variables of the vulnerability function is a set of indicators.In the process of impact, differentindicatorshave different roles, expressed by the weight of indicators. The selected set of indicator includes 20 indicators. The weights of these indicators are calculated by Analytic Hierarchy Process with the support of Expert Choice software.The results show that the indicators related to natural disasters in the exposure variable, indicators related to crop areas in sensitive variables and indicators related to the prevention and mitigation of adverse impacts of Climate change and natural disasters play the most important role in assessing the vulnerability.The results of assessing the level of vulnerability caused by the impacts of climate change and the natural disasters of the indicators show that: 18 out of 20 districts in the province have medium level of vulnerability.Particularly, in the two districts of Tuong Duong and Thanh Chuong,due to thehigh impact of climate change and natural disastersin combination with the low capacity of adaptation in the agricultural sector, the synthetic vulnerability is assessed at a high level.
References
[2] Divya Neohan and Shirish Siha, Vulnerability Assessment of People Livelihoods and Ecosystems in Ganga Basin, WWF India, India, 2009.
[3] Hoang Luu Thu Thuy et al, Assessing the vulnerability of socio-economic system due to climate change impacts in the North Central region, Code: BDKH-24, under the Science and Technology Program -BDKH 11/15,General report of the State-level project, printed format,Institute of Geography, Hanoi, 2015 (in Vietnamese).
[4] Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate change: Scientific basis, Cambridge University Press, United Kingdom, 2001.
[5] General Statistics Office, Nghe An Statistical Yearbook in the years of 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, Statistical Publishing House Hanoi (in Vietnamese).
[6] Department of Climatological Geography, Institute of Geography, Meteorological Data for the period of 1980-2013 of 9 meteorological, hydrological and rainfall stations in Nghe An province (in Vietnamese).
[7] Thomas L. Saaty, Decision making with the analytic hierarchy process, International Journal of Services Sciences. 1 (2008) 83–98. https:// www.researchgate.net/publication/228628807
[8] Department of Agriculture and Rural Development of Nghe An province, Final report in the years of 2010-2014, Typography(in Vietnamese).
[9] Nghe An Provincial People's Committee, Final report on the implementation of socio-economic tasks of Nghe An province in the years of 2012-2014 (in Vietnamese).