Investigate the relationship between Storm Formation and Tropical Cyclone Genesis Potential Index in the Vietnam East Sea

Abstract

Abstract: In this paper, the relationship between Tropical Cyclone (TC) Genesis Potential Index (GPI) and the number of TC (NTC) associated with ENSO over the Vietnam East Sea (VES) was investigated. Observed TC data of the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center (RSMC) Tokyo Typhoon Center and ERA Interim reanalysis data for the period 1985-2015 were used. The results show a good agreement between GPI and NTC over the VES with the correlation coefficient is 0.84. There were more TCs formed over the VES during La Nina years and less TCs during El Nino years. There were positive anomalies of GPI, environmental factors (relative humidity, sea surface temperature, absolute vorticity, potential intensity)over the region where the highest densityof TCs genesis locatedduring La Nina years while there were negative anomalies found during El Nino years. Relative humidity has the largest contribution to the positive difference GPI between La Nina years and El Nino years, the less contribution comes from the potential intensity, absolute vorticity, and wind shear.

Keywords: GPI, Tropical Cyclone Genesis, ENSO, Vietnam East Sea.

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